Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.330227e-01 0.316072 0.413694 0.535045 0.679952 0.845600 1.047380
2026-02-08 1.315872e-01 0.229803 0.364812 0.555181 0.807815 1.122994 1.536910
2026-02-15 6.984497e-02 0.163018 0.314216 0.554522 0.904108 1.372279 2.023575
2026-02-22 4.217662e-02 0.131571 0.300509 0.597002 1.059884 1.712559 2.657693
2026-03-01 2.370186e-02 0.103450 0.280409 0.621958 1.190146 2.027599 3.281475
2026-03-08 1.173354e-02 0.077918 0.253553 0.626774 1.286361 2.298728 3.860132
2026-03-15 4.785013e-03 0.055903 0.222749 0.614790 1.350132 2.522932 4.381973
2026-03-22 1.940050e-03 0.043204 0.206992 0.626508 1.452345 2.809754 5.007104
2026-03-29 5.694785e-04 0.032250 0.189082 0.628179 1.534575 3.067818 5.599074
2026-04-05 6.544273e-05 0.022014 0.165326 0.609572 1.575077 3.258500 6.094750
2026-04-12 2.126740e-07 0.014707 0.144926 0.592386 1.614119 3.446476 6.591506
2026-04-19 NaN 0.010587 0.133750 0.595346 1.692018 3.702616 7.203303
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006273 0.114709 0.571655 1.714112 3.867332 7.683115
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004868 0.112414 0.597140 1.843527 4.227790 8.492785
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003154 0.103393 0.598700 1.920359 4.497811 9.164175
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002782 0.107338 0.644769 2.101173 4.964009 10.172541
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002116 0.105913 0.671775 2.240280 5.359053 11.073426
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001326 0.099072 0.677196 2.329274 5.664690 11.833155
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000655 0.088512 0.664696 2.373843 5.888367 12.460531
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000384 0.084517 0.677173 2.479825 6.231848 13.299272
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000178 0.078520 0.678984 2.558896 6.525992 14.059947
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000043 0.068686 0.659331 2.580987 6.709938 14.634939
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000004 0.060085 0.641159 2.604307 6.896192 15.217585